EV Trucks – Work in Progress

My excitement over EV trucks died down a bit. I saw the teaser videos. Of course, I wanted one. It’s the truck of the future! But my excitement was replaced with disappointment. I know it’s early innings with EV trucks. The first batch just came out. Fine, I don’t usually buy anything first-gen. I’m more of a “let them build 1 million first to see if the wheels don’t fall off” kinda guy. Let them wrinkle out the bugs first, then I might buy one.

Anyway the problem is not with the technology or the truck itself. They look awesome. I think you can guess. It’s the range! (And the price too.) It’s a massive bummer. I know you are not supposed to take manufacturer numbers at face value. And you shouldn’t. Especially if you are in Canada where the cold can snap your range 40%.

Let me get to the point. I was reading an article on Driving.ca on EV trucks. They tested the Ford-150 Lightning with the biggest battery pack. According to Ford, you should get 515 km of range driving on the highway (basically perfect conditions, no traffic, great weather, and flat, so not Canada). Driving.ca tested it and got 306 km. Ouch! That’s not much for perfect conditions. Imagine regular everyday driving plus the cold weather. And forget doing truck things, like pulling stuff. Car & Driver got 160km pulling 6,100lbs with the Lightning. And where do you charge if you are traveling with a camper? It’s hard not to block every charging spot.

It was good to hear Ford CEO admitting that there’s a lot of work left to do. He took his family on a road trip with a Ford Lightning. Here’s what he had to say after test driving the F-150 Lightning.

“It was a really good reality check of what challenges our customers are going through.” There’s videos out there where he documents his experience.

It’s WIP (Work-in-Progress). Now we can tackle the problems and improve. Charging will get better. Batteries will get better. 

Henry Singleton – The Buyback King

To really understand well-executed share buybacks at work, I strongly suggest you study the king of buybacks, Henry Singleton, the CEO of Teledyne Technologies from 1961 to 1986. Singleton’s success as a business leader and investor, along with his track record of utilizing buybacks, has made him a prominent figure in discussions on the topic. 

In the book Money Masters by John Train, Buffett said “The failure of business schools to study men like Singleton is a crime. Instead, they hold up as models executives cut from a McKinsey & Co. cookie cutter.” Buffett continues by saying he considers Henry Singleton has the best operating and capital deployment record in American business. Prem Watsa, the CEO of Fairfax Financial, in his 1997 shareholder letter called Singleton the Michael Jordan of buybacks.

With such accolades, what has Singleton accomplished? In his 1997 letter, Watsa wrote that “Henry began Teledyne in 1961 with approximately seven million shares outstanding and grew the company through acquisitions while shares outstanding peaked in 1972 at 88 million. From 1972 to 1987, long before stock buybacks became popular, Henry reduced the shares outstanding by 87% to 12 million. Book value per share and stock prices compounded in excess of 22% per year during Henry’s 27 year watch at Teledyne – one of the best track records in the business.” 

The book The Outsiders by William Thorndike, a book a highly recommend, has a whole chapter on Henry Singleton. Thorndike calculated that a dollar invested with Singleton in 1963 would have been worth $180.94 by 1990, more than twelvefold outperformance versus the S&P 500. Singleton delivered a remarkable 20.4% compound annual return to his shareholders compared to an 8% return for the S&P 500 over the same period.

In the 1960s Singleton used Teledyne’s expensive stock price to acquire 130 companies. During that period Teledyne was trading at an average P/E north of 20 to acquire companies around 12 P/E. That’s accretive to the shareholders. Then in the 1970s, when Teledyne’s stock price dropped, he bought 90% of the shares across eight significant tender offers.

Singleton was known for his strategic capital allocation decisions, including extensive use of share repurchases. Singleton’s approach to share buybacks was rooted in his belief that management should focus on allocating capital in a manner that maximizes shareholder returns. 

Singleton was an excellent steward of shareholder capital. He needs to be studied and emulated. His singular focus was to maximize returns to shareholders. He achieved that by mastering capital allocation decisions. When his stock was highly-priced, he used stocks to acquire companies. When his stock was priced at a discount, he was an aggressive purchaser. Singleton left a rich legacy in the field of capital allocation. His approach to value creation, including share buybacks and disciplined capital allocation, should be studied and emulated by business leaders and investors.

Further readings on Henry Singleton

Intangible Assets

‘Not everything that can be counted counts and not everything that counts can be counted’ – (attributed to Albert Einstein, a smart guy)

This post is on intangible assets. I want to touch on the importance and confusion surrounding intangible assets. The modern economy is built on the back of technology. Underlying that technology is intangible assets that are not properly reflected on financial statements. The balance sheet was reliable during the steel-making era, but it’s antiquated in today’s world of modern technology. As an investor, you need to recognize the value that intangible brings even though they can be hard to identify and quantify. But first, let me establish what we are talking about when it comes to assets, then I will touch on the accounting treatment, or mistreatment, of intangible assets.

All businesses have assets. An asset is a resource used to produce economic benefits. Assets can be tangible or intangible. You know what tangible assets are. These are your physical assets such as plants, machinery, equipment, and property. You can see it. You can touch it. Accounting standards have been developed to address tangible assets. Take a bunch of hard physical assets, put it on the balance sheet, and depreciate it over their useful life. Let’s say a machine is estimated to be good for ten years, then a non-cash “expense” is applied over ten years. So far so good.

Over time, especially since the rise of tech companies, intangible assets have increasingly dominated the resources a business employs. If you look at some of the world’s most valuable companies, such as Amazon, Alphabet (Google), Netflix, and Meta (formerly Facebook), they don’t have a lot of fixed assets compared to traditional brick-and-mortar companies. It’s their intangible assets that drive their value. This characteristic is primarily due to the nature of their business models, which rely heavily on technology, intellectual property, and human capital rather than good old physical assets. These companies don’t carry inventory or equipment.

Intangibles are the assets that you can’t see or touch. They are not physical assets. Hence the “in” in intangible. These are your brands, trademark, patent, goodwill, intellectual property, rights, client relationships, and reputation among other things. It could also be things like proprietary algorithms, data, or a special feature in an app like the “thumbs up” button. 

We know intangible assets have value because they produce goods and services that bring in money. There’s no denying that the logo of a bitten apple, or a golden arch, means serious business. Not sure? Without that golden arch, you don’t have Mcdonald’s, you have a restaurant serving bad food. Without that iconic red logo, you don’t have Coca-Cola, you have dirty brown water (Pepsi gets a pass, but who buys generic cola?). Without that super sophisticated search algorithm, you can Google things instead of going to the library (you should still go to the library).

Now that we have established that intangible assets are a real thing that makes money, and if it makes money it has value. What’s the accounting treatment of intangible assets? That’s where the confusion and complexity comes in. 

As I mentioned earlier, accounting norms were created for the brick-and-mortar companies, the ones with physical assets that you can easily identify and put on a balance sheet. With intangible assets, it’s not so easy. I don’t want to get into an accounting nerd fight but the accounting world was built with physical assets in mind. With intangibles, nothing is straightforward.

As a confusion starter, you have intangibles that are on the balance sheet and some that are not. Internally generated intangible assets, like a brand, are not on the balance sheet. Some of the biggest brands in the world, like Apple, have no brand value on their balance sheet. Interbrand, in their annual ranking of the World’s Most Valuable Brands, estimated that in 2022 Apple’s brand was worth $482 billion.  $482 billion! For something you can’t touch, for something that exists in our head (that is the love of Apple products).

Go look at Apple’s balance sheet in the 2022 10-K, there’s nothing about the brand. Apple has $352 billion in total assets and $120 billion of that are marketable securities (stock and bonds), their biggest listed asset. Even if you apply a 50% haircut to Interbrand’s number, the Apple brand dwarf all the other listed assets. The word “brand” came up three times in a word search of the entire 10-K and the results were insignificant (something about AppleCare, a co-branded credit card, and the Apple store).

We can debate what’s the exact value of the Apple brand, but we can’t deny that it’s a major asset that prints money. At the moment of writing this, Apple is approaching the $3 trillion market cap. From this number, we can imply that the market does not value Apple for the assets on the balance sheet, but for the growth and cash flow it generates, which is underpinned by its great brand. 

The problem is that traditional financial reporting is inadequate at quantifying the value of intangibles. Accounting principles state that the money spent to develop the brand, intellectual property, and R&D is expensed on the income statement in the selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) section, instead of showing up on the property, plant, and equipment (PP&E) section of the balance sheet. What the accounting standards are saying is that by expensing R&D immediately, there’s no value in the future. But we know that’s bunker. Some intangible spending is an investment that will generate cash flow in the future.

Part of the reason why such investments don’t show up as an asset on the balance sheet is that expenses are intertwined with each other. Intangible investments are blended with operating expenses. The line is blurry. How much marketing expenses are actually investments and what is a proper useful life for those assets? I welcome you to read the Intangibles and Earnings report by Michael J. Mauboussin and Dan Callahan, where such questions and more are explored.

However, if you acquire a company, the accounting rules change. During an acquisition, then the acquired intangibles show up on the balance sheet and are capitalized. To go back to Apple, let’s say Banana Inc. acquires them, then Banana Inc. would have to add the Apple brand to its balance sheet in a process called purchase price allocation (PPA).

Some acquired intangibles have a useful life. Some are infinite, like a trademark (as long as the business exists). If the intangible is on the balance sheet, there’s also the question of “How much is it worth?” There’s a little bit of financial gymnastic when it comes to valuing intangibles like a brand.

The confusion doesn’t stop at how you identify and value an intangible asset. What about amortization charges related to acquiring the intangible, do you add it back? Does the intangible asset need maintenance expenses? You need to be careful with the risk of double counting if future expenditure on maintaining the value of the intangible asset is expensed rather than capitalized.

Are you having fun yet? I warned you at the beginning. And haven’t got to goodwill, the Cadillac of intangibles. I’m not talking about the good kind of goodwill, which more of it is better. I’m talking about accounting goodwill, where more is not necessarily better. Goodwill arises from an acquisition. It arises when the PPA process runs out of assets to attribute the purchase price too, so they invented a line called goodwill. It’s a plug number for accountants to make sure things balance. Let’s say you buy a business for $1 million, and the only asset is a picture of me worth $1, then $999,999 is going to goodwill (the value of the picture is in the eye of the beholder). Hopefully, that value doesn’t get impaired.

There’s no straightforward answer on how to address the confusion. Experts don’t agree with each other and I don’t have a good answer myself. In their defense, an accountant would say that you can’t put an intangible asset like brand value on the balance sheet because it’s very volatile, and it’s true. Brand value jumps around a lot. How reliable is the balance sheet if your biggest asset jumps around 50%?

I think that in some cases intangibles should be treated like tangible assets, where you put them on the balance sheet and amortize it over its useful life. Some intangible amortization is a real expense and you should add back some of the charges. It should be addressed on a case-by-case basis. 

Next, I’ll address what’s in it for the investor.

The Intangible Assets Juggernauts

What do Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Netflix, Microsoft, Intel, Oracle, Tencent, Adobe, Uber, Airbnb, Alibaba, Shopify, and many more, have in common? They are some of the world’s most valuable technology companies. They invest massively in intellectual property, R&D, technology, and human capital. The “assets” that underpin the knowledge economy. And as I mentioned earlier, like in the Apple case, most of the assets don’t appear on the balance sheet.

These companies leverage their intellectual property, digital infrastructure, and network effects to create value and dominate their respective markets. However, it’s important to note that while fixed assets may not be as prominent, these companies still have substantial operational costs, including investments in R&D, marketing, and maintaining their digital infrastructure. These costs are huge and important to maintain their competitive position.

As an investor, you need to recognize how intangible assets can be crucial drivers of a company’s competitive advantage and future earnings potential. Even if you can’t quantify it. Understanding this concept helps explain the Amazon story. Understanding the Amazon story might help you find the next “Amazon” What’s the Amazon story?

Traditional value investors looked at Amazon and said “It’s overvalued because it has thin margins and no profit.” Amazon is worth over $1 trillion and made Jeff Bezos, the founder, one of the world’s wealthiest. For a company that started as an online book store, they must be doing something right. Amazon is a bit of a hybrid company, a combination of old and new worlds. It’s a tech company with a lot of tangible assets, like inventory, giant warehouses, and data centers.

The main reason for misunderstanding Amazon’s valuation is that the company reinvests all its money on R&D, which are operating expenses on the income statement. This has the effect of understating profit. And because profits are kept low, its Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio never made sense. As I’m writing this, Amazon has a P/E of 292x. It doesn’t make sense and it never did. But it proves my point. Amazon’s earnings are meaningless because the company is massively investing in growth. Those operating expenses are actually investments that generate future cash flow in the future. If you looked beyond the traditional valuation metric, you would have made a fortune. I didn’t. And now I’m writing.

The same goes for return on capital. With the current reporting standards, the return on capital is overstated if you have a bunch of non-listed intangibles because you understated the invested capital. Add the $482 billion of brand value to the assets of Apple, and your return on assets and equity drops.

When looking at companies with massive R&D expenses, you will have to make adjustments. You have to dig deeper. Regarding valuation, as I explained, valuing technology companies on book value or traditional metrics can be misleading and inadequate. Traditional Price-to-Book captures tangible assets. At the risk of repeating myself, the approach misses a lot of embedded value in an intangible asset since traditional accounting doesn’t capture it.

Unquantifiable

So far we have established that traditional accounting standards don’t capture the embedded value intangible assets bring and that traditional valuation metrics are inadequate for technology-heavy companies.

I want to take this conversation to another level. I don’t know if we will ever get to a point where we can accurately measure intangibles. That’s beside the point. I want to go beyond accounting. 

What I want to get to, is that there are intangibles that it’s impossible to put a number on them. For example, accounting standards don’t take people into consideration. Their value is zero. But people are an organization’s number one asset. What if you have a Michael Jordan, or a Steve Jobs on your team? They are not on the balance sheet. But that key person is the difference between massive success and average results. You have to go beyond the financial statements.

A smart man named Albert Einstein apparently said “Not everything that can be counted counts and not everything that counts can be counted.” How do you put a number on Trust? Integrity? Respect? Reliability? Loyalty? Desire? Culture? What about social networks and political connections? You can’t quantify it. But you don’t need to be a sophisticated investor to recognize its importance and how it drives long-term value creation. That’s the key.

The point of this post is not to debate how accountants should handle intangibles, but to recognize the importance of intangible assets and the role they play in the modern economy. They have become an important factor in value creation. You might not identify or measure an intangible asset with precision, but you need to recognize how it drives value, even if it’s not on the balance sheet. This means you might have to dig a little deeper. 

At the end of the day, you are trying to determine free cash flow to estimate value. With that in mind, just like a tangible asset, you need to make the necessary adjustments that give you an accurate estimate of value. As I said in the past, valuation is an art, not a science.

Further Readings

The Rise of the SuperBots

From a previous post, Twitter & Musk

Could paying $8 per month give rise to the SuperBots? Let’s say you are a foreign actor with malicious and deceptive intentions, and you have a bot farm in Macedonia or Russia, that’s $8/month is the easiest play in the world. For $8/month your bot is now verified and credible. You now have a farm pumping verified SuperBots soldiers. Do that with thousands of accounts and you are beating the system. If you are a foreign power like Russia, that’s nothing. It’s cheaper than training and building an army. And a lot cheaper than invading a country. So if invading a country is too expensive or not feasible, but for $8/month you can mess with your enemy so much. For $8/month you have taken your good old bot farm and transformed it into a verified army working at influencing, election meddling, and dividing people. Get a few SuperBots working together and now have viral content on hot topic issue that triggers people. You might not be able to beat your enemy, but it’s a cheap way to get the country to turn on itself. Why invade when you can get the country to turn on itself? My point is that instead of taking care of the bot problem, you have making them stronger.

Thoughts on the AT&T – Discovery Deal

Since the Archegos fallout I’ve written two posts about about Discovery. Part 1 and Part 2. I initiated a position in the Class A shares at ~$41, which is now down 19% in six weeks since DISCA is trading at $33 at the moment. The current price provides a great entry point and I’m considering adding more at these prices.

Despite a good Q1-2021, the downward pressure seems attributed to things outside the business. The market has cooled off a bit due to rates and inflation concerns, Credit Suisse wasn’t done dumping massive bloc of shares to cover a bad loan and yesterday’s announcement of the AT&T-Discovery led to a pre-market price pop of 17%, $2 from break-even, and then the price pop popped. DISKCA dropped. Meanwhile Class B and Class are both higher. This is due to share “triage”, a reshuffling of different share classes. The NewCo will have one class of shares with one vote. Discovery has three classes of shares with different rights and a convertible pref. Let’s just say the NewCo capital structure will be easier and cleaner to understand.

You can see the presentation of the deal here. Below are some of my notes and thoughts on the deal. The new business is unnamed at the moment, so it’s going under NewCo for this post.

AT&T

  • AT&T shareholders will own 71% of NewCo. It supposed to be a tax-free spin-off of WarnerMedia assets.
  • What is Warner Media: Mainly CNN, TNT, HBO, Warner Bros studio, D.C. Entertainment, but there’s more.
  • AT&T will get $43b cash, debt securities and WarnerMedia’s retention of certain debt. This will help reduces its $169b of net debt. That amount of debt does not leave much financial flexibility when you have massive investments to make in 5G and content. Will need billions to match Verizon and T-Mobile.
  • AT&T will readjust the dividend after spin-off. The future dividend will be around $8b-$8.6b based on 40% of anticipated FCF of $20b. AT&T currently pays $15b/year and froze it last December after 30 years of increases.
  • Future yield should be around 3%-4% range.
  • NewCo will spend $20b a year in content. That’s more than Netflix’s $17b and Disney is around there.
  • Originally, the DirecTV deal and Time Warner was supposed to challenge Comcast in the pay-TV business, steal digital-advertising dollars from Google, and mount a challenge to Netflix Inc. in streaming. It accomplished none of that. Now it’s going back to its roots: Wireless and broadband.
  • Why the deal? #1: The market was never sold on AT&T multiprong strategy of trying to be the king of connectivity/broadband/distribution and king of content. In the direction they are going they are the king of neither. Marrying media content and distribution is a tough game. Verizon tried to be a digital media powerhouse and back-off $10b in and poor results (AOL + Yahoo, come on, how much did you paid a consultant for that genius idea).
  • Why? #2: AT&T has a lot of debt, mostly from two massive deals (DirecTV $49b + Time Warner $81b). Net debt is $160b. The largest for a non-financial company.
  • Why? #3: AT&T will need a lot of money to invest in 5G and connectivity to be able to stay in the game.
  • Why? #4: AT&T realized that WarnerMedia is a different beast that needs a different kind of attention, and will need billions of dollar annually. They are short $2b on committed programming.
  • Why? #5: Never a smooth marriage. There was conflicts after the purchase. A clash of culture. A couple rounds of layoffs, and just bad headlines. Hollywood didn’t like it. Moral was low. A lot of key people left. Talent relation is strained due in part to decisions regarding the distribution of theatrical movies.
  • Why? #6: A lot of pressure to perform. They took on massive debt on two massive deals and the results aren’t there. DirecTV was a flop. Sold 40% for $1.3b. The verdict is still out on Time Warner but early results are not up to expectations.
  • I don’t get AT&T. Isn’t this like the 3rd reorganization, or reshuffle, or reset in the last few years? They bought DirecTV at the peak of pay-TV (2015), then fought the government for two years to approve the Time Warner deal (2018) and now the U-turn?!
  • NewCo will be a better home for WarnerMedia. A company purely focus on creating content.
  • I never understood HBO’s strategy. It’s confusing. HBO, HBO Go, HBO Now, HBO Max, then they had a 3-tier paying system, then one. Consumers want one HBO.
  • Credit to CEO John Stankey for admitting that this wasn’t working instead and looking for solutions. It’s not easy to step back and re-evaluate.

Discovery

  • The deal is good for both parties. AT&T can attribute resources to what they now and NewCo will have more content to compete.
  • The two most successful players in direct-to-consumer streaming video, Netflix and Disney are almost entirely focused on entertainment, and don’t own cable systems or broadband businesses.
  • I like Discovery CEO David Zaslav. He’s a media guy. He knowns what he’s doing. He understands content.
  • Zaslav is a deal maker. He’s been acquiring content for the last couple years.
  • NewCo will have one share class with one vote.
  • NewCo will hold $55b of debt.
  • I like the disclosed around Discovery+. They have 15m consumers in five months and provide a good breakdown of the data/key metrics.
  • They disclosed that engagement is approximately 3 hours per day per viewing subscriber. 3hr!!!! This is the kind of stuff that you disclosed only if it’s positive. Nobody says they watch the 90 Day Fiancé for 3hrs, they say they watch The Crown, but we know the true.
  • In contrasts, AT&T said that HBO has a 44m subscribers without breaking it down. It believed that most of them are HBO-only customers. No numbers on HBO Max, the center piece of the strategy.
  • Discovery+ retention is strong and monthly churn is trending towards low single digits.
  • According to Zaslav, an hour of non-scripted content cost ~$400k compared with ~$5m for a scripted show.

Despite the stocks being down from my initial purchase, I’m still bullish on Discovery/NewCo. Right stock is getting kicked around for short-term events and market noises. The stock is undervalued. It’s kicking ~$3b in free cash flow. Discovery+ is turning into a success story. Eventually the narrative will change from “declining TV business” to streaming behemoth, just like Disney was able to rebrand itself from an “ESPN” story to Disney+.

Financial Sources

After a small break from blogging, I’m back for 2021. I’ve plenty of material to write about. It’s more a question of getting to it.

The pandemic is a mixed blessing. The good: I’m at home with my wife and two young kids (two and six years old). It’s great to spend time together. I’m there for all the little moments. Life goes by fast. The bad: I’m home with my wife and kids. It’s hard to get anything done. Small children are the equivalent of having a F1 tornado in your house. But when you have to get something done you do it.

I recently had a conversation with a friend which form the basis for this post. He’s getting into investing and wants to know where I get my financial news. It’s a good question. Great investment ideas are hard to come by. You would have think that with the Internet it would have been easy to stay informed. But just like current event, it’s a mess. The links below are a mix of free and pay resources (pay-wall or metered). Each source has its pros and cons. There are diverse platforms and website with their own nice and approach. Also the order below is totally random.

  1. Seeking Alpha
    • It’s one of the better platform. I’m an occasional contributor. There are news and financial analysis. It’s strength is covering under-followed companies. Part of the website is free and some you have to pay for. The format often change.
    • Be careful: I suggest you find and follow good authors. There are great authors that does great research. Their track record speaks for itself. Like anything else there’s a lot of junk out there and Seeking Alpha is not immune. Not every idea is a barnburner. You need to filter and do you own research.
  2. Barron’s ,WSJ, Bloomberg news, Financial Times: Good financial news and investment analysis. You have to pay and they often have promotion.
  3. The Economist: One of the better publication left. Not pure financial news but it offer deep analysis of the weekly news and world issues.
  4. Value Investor Club (VIC): This one has been around for a while. It was co-founded by Joel Greenblatt. You explore the idea section with a delay. It’s a “club”. You have to propose a good idea to be included. But like I said, you have access to the idea section and analysis.
  5. SumZero: It’s a professional community of investors. Facebook meets Seeking Alpha meets LinkedIn. The members are vetted to make sure they are professional.
  6. Koyfin: Good financial platform. I like it and I only been using it for the past year. There’s constant updates. It’s positing itself as a Bloomberg killer. I’m using it for free right now. Let’s see.
  7. Morningstar: I have the full version with my broker. They have good data and ten-year numbers. They have good articles too.
  8. Twitter: Twitter can be a savage place. It’s wild. But you choose who to follow and a well curated list of people to follow can be a great source of ideas and discussion. I don’t want to give names because there’s no end. You need to pick a genre and explore. Lets say you are into real estate investing, well you can find a decent list of people that have high level discussions. A whole post could be dedicated to this and I’m sure a quick Google search will bring fruitful results.
  9. Yahoo Finance: After all these years, it’s still a go to for quick stock prices and portfolio. But the news section is brutal. Their stats and numbers are ok but very often you have to calculate them yourself because they are often off.

Others

  • Reddit, Podcasts, Blogs, Substacks, Newsletters, WhatsApp/Slack/Discord groups

Blog posts could be written about the suggestions right above. Again, just like Twitter above, you need to find a topic or sub-genre and start exploring. Some are free. Some you have to pay. Just like anything else, if you put the time and work into it, you can build a pretty good system for news, information, and great investing ideas.

Happy 2021

YYX Annual Value Symposium is back on

YYX Value SymposiumThe 5th YYX Annual Value Symposium is back on, via video in May 27, 2020, and I will be presenting in a TEDx Talk format. 

yyxtoronto.ca/symposium.html

 

Specialization

I was stuck at home for sixty days with wife and kids. During that time I took on projects that I wouldn’t normally have the time for, such as making maple syrup, brewing beer, making pasta, and baking bread.

  • I boiled maple syrup because I have maple trees. Made just over 4 liters of syrup. The last 2.5 liters took 30 hours of boiling and used a ton of propane. It was a fun project because I have young kids. They participated at collecting the maple water and sampling various products. This project is seasonal and would have done it Covid or not.
  • Brewing beer: More of a personal project. I had a beer making kit sitting in the basement and it was about time that I get to it. Kids had fun watching boil the grains and adding hop and stuff. The beer is currently in its second fermentation stage. I will have a taste of the IPA in two week.
  • Making pasta. The easiest and fastest. And it’s totally family friendly. Fresh pasta is so much better than the box stuff. So much. I don’t know if I can go back. It’s a very underrated activity. The cost benefit ratio is totally tilted towards the benefit. Flour and eggs. That’s all you need.
  • Baking bread: I joined the sourdough #breadster bandwagon community. I made my starter (5 days) so I can have natural yeast, then another 24 hours for bread making. It’s “labor” intensive. It’s not super physical, but it’s time consuming and you need to be precise with everything. If you are one degree off here and there the whole thing can go awry.
  • Beer and bread is all about working with yeast and fermentation. With beer sanitation is super important. I got really paranoid with sanitation. Too much bacteria can kill a beer. I learned a lot. Science meets art. Once you master the science and process, you can really start to experiment with several type of grains, hops etc…same goes for bread. The possibilities are endless.

Lessons

I developed a deep sense of appreciation for the miracle of economic specialization. Bread is like $3 and it’s a shit ton of work.  I understood specialization as a concept. I understood the benefits, especially when it comes to trade and economic development. But now, anybody that comes up with some protectionist nationalist argument, I would tell them to go make bread.

More photos

Continue reading “Specialization”

A Little Corona Humor

Covid gremlimsCovid famillyCovid margin callCovid comic 1Kids not talkingCovic comic 4 Continue reading “A Little Corona Humor”

Activities For Young Children

Hey,

Are you in quarantine with two young children like me? We are all doing our best and trying to navigate the current crisis. Below are three different fun activity packs to keep your young children busy. They were free and fun. It worked for me. My kids are five and two. I’m supposed to be working and educating my kids at the same time. It’s sort of impossible. Formal home schooling is not working because the two year old like to crash the party. Plus, even without a toddler, it only works for so long. So you kind have to improvise as you go. My approach is learning while having fun. Basically they are having fun and they don’t know that they are learning. That’s the best kind.

Here’s the downside: You need a printer and lots of ink. (If there’s anything left after printing everything your teacher sent.)